tampa criminal attorney: Hormuz route under fire

August 4th, 2026

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Welcome back to your daily briefing from the world’s live probability machine.

$20 FREE with $10 first deposit to Polymarket USA - Download on the App Store - code POLYGRAPH - $500 to $1,355 if the Cubs beat the Dodgers tonight.

What’s moving today:

Top News

Hormuz route under fire

Iran has struck a second cargo ship in 24 hours near the U.S.-backed southern passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Traders are weighing whether escalating attacks will keep traffic disrupted through September.

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Quick Links

Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4? →

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? →

Congress buys more time

The Senate moved to avert a shutdown through December as lawmakers race toward summer recess. With floor time rapidly disappearing, traders are pricing whether the CLARITY Act can still reach Trump’s desk this year.

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Government shutdown by October 1? →

SAVE America Act becomes law this year? →

Trump turns on Pirro

Pirro’s office abandoned the Reflecting Pool case after evidence pointed to a botched renovation. Trump says she “choked” under pressure, fueling questions about whether she survives the month as D.C. U.S. attorney.

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Who will be Trump's next attorney general? →

The richest got richer-er

The Dodgers were already the richest and most talented team in MLB. Then they landed the best available pitcher at the trade deadline, plus other pieces. Can they be stopped? Trade on the new-look, better-than-ever two-time defending champs against the Cubs tonight.

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Breaking News

Odds

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?

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71%

+32%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?

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35%

+17%

Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?

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80%

+13%

See all Breaking →

Ending Soon

Ends In

Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?

3d

See all Ending Soon →

New

Listed

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

8h ago

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

9h ago

Will Ukraine target Moscow by...?

12h ago

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Hot Polymarkets

24H Volume

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

$1.64M

Fed Decision in September?

$1.18M

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

$1.03M

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$711.8K

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